Growing Risks for Bitcoin: Polymarket Odds Approach 60% for $100,000 Drop in October

By Patricia Miller

Oct 17, 2025

1 min read

Bitcoin's odds to drop to $100,000 in October hit nearly 60% on Polymarket, signaling rising bearish sentiment among traders.

#What Are the Current Odds for Bitcoin to Fall to $100,000?

The odds of Bitcoin declining to $100,000 this October have surged to nearly 60%. This prediction stems from a notable decrease in Bitcoin's value, with prices moving from approximately $109,000 down to around $104,500. The shift indicates an increasing bearish sentiment among investors.

How Is Polymarket Influencing Bitcoin Price Predictions?

Polymarket has emerged as a vital platform for gauging Bitcoin price predictions. As a decentralized prediction market, it allows users to bet on various cryptocurrency outcomes. The behavior of Polymarket traders reflects growing sentiment based on both market volatility and macroeconomic developments. As traders engage more on the platform, they adjust their positions according to changing market dynamics and economic indicators.

What Role Do Macroeconomic Factors Play in Price Predictions?

Traders on Polymarket are increasingly aligning their Bitcoin price expectations with broader macroeconomic conditions. Many are drawing comparisons to past market cycles, suggesting the potential for price fluctuations. The platform has become a focal point for debates surrounding Bitcoin's possible price movements, whether downward or upward.

Throughout October 2025, the cryptocurrency market has experienced significant volatility. This has led to fluctuating predictions among traders on various betting platforms, indicating the unpredictable nature of the market as it reacts to external pressures and internal demands.

Important Notice And Disclaimer

This article does not provide any financial advice and is not a recommendation to deal in any securities or product. Investments may fall in value and an investor may lose some or all of their investment. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.