Aon Stock (AON): Flags 9.8% Healthcare Cost Spike for 2026

By Patricia Miller

Oct 08, 2025

3 min read

Aon warns of rising global medical costs in 2026—investors should eye how this fuels demand for cost-cutting advisory and insurance solutions.

#Aon Latest

Aon is a leading global professional services firm focused on risk management, insurance brokerage, and human resource consulting. Recent forecasts by Aon suggest that healthcare costs are set to increase significantly, with global employer medical plan unit costs predicted to rise by 9.8% in 2026. This represents a modest deceleration from 10.0% in 2025 to 9.8% in 2026, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics that investors and employers should consider.

#What Investors Need to Know About Aon

  • Aon forecasts moderate deceleration in healthcare cost trends.

  • U.S. employer-sponsored medical plan costs are estimated to rise about 9.5% in 2026.

  • Key factors influencing costs include medical utilization and new therapeutic developments.

  • Efforts in cost management and redesigning benefits can soften the impact.

  • This trend could affect employer budgets and insurance margins significantly.

  • Aon also notes regional variation: Europe’s medical trend is expected to slow to around 8.2%, while North America and Asia-Pacific remain above the global average.

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#Aon At A Glance

Aon provides advisory and broking services across various sectors, with a strong emphasis on risk management and insurance solutions. The firm operates globally and serves a diverse client base, delivering data-driven insights to optimize risk and enhance employee benefits.

#Competitive Landscape

In the competitive landscape, Aon faces challenges and opportunities from firms like Marsh McLennan, Willis Towers Watson, and Gallagher. Each of these companies strives to capture market share in the insurance and risk consulting space, making client offerings more critical.

#Near-Term Catalysts and Risks

The projected increase in healthcare costs positions Aon in a crucial role for advising businesses. Many employers are expected to absorb a portion of these higher costs, adjust plan designs, increase employee cost sharing, and deploy chronic disease management strategies to control spending.

While cost-management strategies can mitigate some pressure, any unforeseen shifts in medical inflation could lead to budget challenges for employers, increasing the demand for Aon's services. Investors should watch for business performance impacted by these trends.

#Trading AON Stock

For retail investors considering AON stock, it’s essential to position based on the firm's growth potential amid changing healthcare cost dynamics. Analyzing Aon's historical performance and the trend in healthcare cost forecasts can provide valuable insights when making investment decisions.

In September 2025, Aon also announced the planned sale of its wealth management business acquired from NFP to Madison Dearborn Partners — a move that may sharpen its focus on core risk and benefits operations.

#FAQ

Why should I invest in a professional services firm like Aon?

Investing in professional services and insurance advisory firms like Aon can provide exposure to stable, recurring revenue streams driven by global demand for risk and benefits management.

What are the key performance indicators for Aon?

Key indicators for Aon include revenue growth, profit margins, and client retention rates, which can reveal the firm's overall health and market position.

Other key metrics include segment revenue growth across Risk Capital and Health Solutions, brokerage and advisory margins, and recurring versus transactional revenue mix.

How does healthcare inflation affect Aon?

Healthcare inflation directly impacts Aon’s advisory services as employers face rising costs, creating opportunities for Aon to offer solutions to manage these increases.

What risks should I consider when investing in Aon?

Investors should assess regulatory risks, competition, and the broader economic environment that could influence Aon's performance.

Important Notice And Disclaimer

This article does not provide any financial advice and is not a recommendation to deal in any securities or product. Investments may fall in value and an investor may lose some or all of their investment. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.